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Evidence Observatory

Where Job-Search Statistics Come From

Where job-search statistics come from, what they actually measured, and what they will not support. Every claim here has been traced as far toward its original source as we could get.

12 claims reviewed · 9 sources · Each review names its population, sample and measure

Most job-search statistics circulate without a source. Some have one and have been stretched past what it measured; a few are exactly right and are quoted without the qualification that makes them useful. This library records which is which, and shows the working.

A verdict here is a statement about evidence, never about the world. “Unverified” means we could not find support for a claim — not that it is false.

Check a claim

Paste a statistic you have seen and we will tell you whether it has been reviewed here, and what we found.

Every claim reviewed

Evidence status

What each verdict commits us to.

Contradicted
Identifiable evidence of reasonable quality points the other way. Reserved for cases where we can name that evidence, not for claims that are merely unsupported.
Source withdrawn
The claim did have a traceable source, and that source has since been retracted, corrected, taken down, or disavowed by whoever published it.
Unverified
We could not trace the claim to any identifiable primary source. This is a statement about the evidence, not about the world: an unverified claim is not thereby false, it is unsupported, and we say so rather than guessing.
Partially supported
A real source underlies the claim, but the claim as circulated overstates it — by generalising a narrow population, dropping a qualifier, rounding a range to a single number, or restating a measure as something it did not measure.
Context dependent
The claim is true or false depending on a condition the claim itself omits — the industry, the seniority, the labour market, or which of several different quantities is being counted. There is no single correct answer to report.
Supported
An identifiable primary source supports the claim as it is normally stated, and the claim does not overreach that source's population, period or measure.

These definitions are part of the methodology, alongside the source standard every review is held to.